are currently trading near $80.60, moving deeper into the VC PMI daily accumulation zone, where statistical probabilities favor a mean reversion back toward the equilibrium level. According to the Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI), markets trading below the mean create high-probability opportunities for reversal, typically ranging between 90%–95% probability of returning to the mean when extreme levels are reached.
The Daily VC PMI mean is located near $82.16, which represents the first magnet for price action if buyers begin absorbing supply. A sustained move back above this level would activate the next resistance targets at Daily Sell 1 ($84.80) and Daily Sell 2 ($88.26).
On the downside, the market briefly tested the Daily Buy 1 level near $78.70, reaching a low of approximately $79.52, confirming that price has entered the statistical accumulation zone. Should volatility expand further, the next extreme support appears at Daily Buy 2 ($76.06), which represents the maximum deviation from the mean within the current daily structure.
Weekly VC PMI Structure
The weekly framework provides a broader perspective on the market structure. The Weekly Mean is near $83.75, which coincides closely with the daily equilibrium level and reinforces the importance of this price area as a key pivot point for trend direction.
Above the weekly mean, the upside targets expand to:
- Weekly Sell 1: $87.98
- Weekly Sell 2: $94.62
These levels represent distribution zones where the VC PMI model expects supply to re-enter the market.
Below the market, the Weekly Buy levels provide structural support:
- Weekly Buy 1: $77.11
- Weekly Buy 2: $72.88
The confluence between the Daily Buy zone and Weekly Buy 1 indicates that silver is currently trading inside a high-probability accumulation window.
Time-Date Cycle Analysis
The current decline into the Buy zone aligns with an important time-cycle window between March 13 and March 18, where historical volatility patterns suggest a turning point or acceleration in trend. If the market stabilizes during this cycle window, the next projected expansion phase could unfold into late March (March 24–28), coinciding with futures positioning adjustments and quarterly portfolio rebalancing.
Square-of-9 Price Geometry
Applying Gann Square-of-9 harmonic analysis, the $81–$82 level represents a key rotational support, while the next harmonic resistance clusters appear near $90 and $95. These levels align closely with the VC PMI weekly Sell targets, creating a geometric and statistical confluence.
A confirmed reversal above the mean could therefore project a measured move toward the $90–$95 range, where stronger resistance is expected.
Disclosure: The VC PMI methodology is a quantitative mean-reversion trading model that identifies statistically significant price levels based on probability distributions. The analysis presented here incorporates VC PMI price levels, time-cycle analysis, and Square-of-9 geometric projections. This report is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading futures and derivatives involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
