Why the Next Recession Will Be the Catalyst for Depression
January 30, 2026
Inflation will return front and center this week with the announcement on Tuesday and then the on Wednesday. I am expecting very favorable core CPI and PPI reports. Economists are...
Read moreDetailsMost traders think the losing trade is the biggest risk. It is not. The real danger is often what happens immediately afterward. The first loss may have followed your strategy...
Read moreDetailsThe growth slows a bit. Exports and imports treading water. The June 2026 ISM® Services PMI® Report shows production is expanding faster but employment is in negative territory for the third month....
Read moreDetailsUS payrolls rise by less than expected, easing Fed rate hike bets Dollar dives, giving yen a lifeline; gold’s recovery gathers steam Stocks perk up, Dow hits record despite Nasdaq...
Read moreDetailsWhen geopolitical tensions rise, financial markets often enter a period of uncertainty. Investors begin to reassess risk, and capital tends to rotate into assets perceived as safer. Two major destinations...
Read moreDetailsS&P 500 increasingly tracking oil moves, highlighting rising commodity-driven market sensitivity. Risk-off sentiment persists with negative momentum, elevated VIX, and fragile investor confidence. Extremely high OVX signals oil stress, amplifying...
Read moreDetailsThe Federal Reserve has a deep pool of resources for analyzing the economy to support its mission to adjust monetary policy to match current and expected macro conditions. But sometimes...
Read moreDetailsWhen oil-related geopolitical risk flares up, most investors take their cue from oil prices. While energy prices are vital to monitor, far fewer investors track the telling price spread between...
Read moreDetailsThe continued amplification of the conflict in the Middle East has created heightened uncertainty in financial markets. Crude oil in particular had a volatile week, beginning with a historic overnight...
Read moreDetailsLet me start today’s analysis with a question from one of our readers: PR, Previously it appears there were two major potential influences that could cause future valuations of gold...
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