Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:) will report quarterly results Tuesday after the close, with investors watching whether chip and data-center momentum continues. Analysts forecast about $9.67 billion in revenue (roughly +27% year-over-year) and $1.32 in adjusted EPS, following a strong prior quarter when AMD posted $9.25 billion and beat revenue estimates by 5.6%.
Wall Street estimates have largely stayed steady recently, reflecting confidence in sustained growth, and AMD has historically outpaced revenue consensus, averaging a 2.4% upside over the past two years.
Key Highlights:
- AMD shares have surged 114% over the past year, while Nvidia has gained 58% despite persistent concerns about an AI bubble and excessive spending.
- AMD is facing a global memory shortage that could prompt PC makers to raise laptop and desktop prices, weighing on sales and hurting AMD’s consumer chip business. In the meantime, its gaming segment is forecast to generate $855 million in revenue, a 52% year-over-year increase from $563 million in 2024.
- AMD unveiled new products, including the Helios rack-scale server, billed as “the world’s best AI rack” which is designed to compete with Nvidia’s Vera Rubin NVL72. Both systems pack 72 GPUs and can be linked to form much larger AI supercomputers. CEO Lisa Su’s mentioned in the CES 2026 keynote.
- Among AMD’s processors and graphics peers that have reported Q4 results, Qorvo posted 8.4% year‑on‑year revenue growth in line with expectations and fell 5.6% on the news, while Penguin Solutions reported flat revenue, beat estimates by 1.2%, and slid 13.8%.
- AMD faces a larger rival in Nvidia, which dominates the chip market, but analysts say there’s strong demand for an alternative to Nvidia.
- AMD’s MI350 will continue ramping through H1, with the MI450 slated to launch in H2, says Susquehanna analysts. OpenAI has agreed to deploy 6 GW of GPUs through 2030, beginning with an initial 1 GW deployment of the MI450 series in the second half.
Analysts Expectation:
- RBC Capital reiterated a Sector Perform rating and a $230.00 price target on AMD.
- Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an Overweight rating on AMD with a $350.00 price target.
- A Wells Fargo analyst maintained an Overweight rating on AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) with a $345.00 price target.
AMD Q4 2025 earnings after-market (4:15 pm ET) Tuesday February 02, 2026
|
Analyst Ratings |
|||
|
SOURCE |
BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
|
Refinitiv |
43 |
12 |
1 |
|
TipRanks |
25 |
8 |
|
|
Earnings Expectation |
|
|
EPS |
1.32 USD |
|
Revenue |
9.67 B USD |
Expected Move by Option Expiration:
Options flow shows a large net positive gamma at the 260 strike (+$39,616.62) and a smaller net negative gamma at the 190 strike (-$11,403.06) across expiries from Feb 2026 to Dec 2028. The put/call ratio indicates a bearish bias for this week’s expiry and a neutral bias for the three remaining February expiries.
Technical Analysis Perspective:
- AMD held early October price gap in the last 4 months, which was due to OpenAI deal.
- Stock failed to break 266 -267 obstacle on two attempts in November ‘25 and January ’26.
- The rejection points at a potential double top reversal pattern in case 195 -194 base is taken out.
- A bullish flag formation is also another potential formation in the making.
- Earnings is a good catalyst to pave the way for future direction.
- Ideal scenario: stock decisively breaks 252 -253 pre- or post-earnings and targets the 266 – 267 resistance zone. A sustained and strong rally above would confirm the bullish flag scenario.
- Alternate scenario: rejection at 252 – 253 or rejection of 266 -267 would pave the way for a larger dip.
Weekly Candlestick Chart
AMD Seasonality Chart:
Since 2007, AMD has seen February close with 4,2%% rise in 50% of years and March with a 2.8% gain in 53% of years.
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Ali Merchant is a seasoned financial market professional with expertise in Technical Analysis, Treasury & Capital Markets, Trading, Sales, Research, Training, Fund & Relationship Management, Fintech, and Digitalization. He is a CMT charter holder and an active member of CMT Association, USA, American Association of Professional Technical Analysts, and CMT Association of Canada. He has worked on various roles and organizations in North America and the GCC, such as ABN Amro bank, Thomson Reuters, Refinitiv, MAK Allen & Day Capital Partners, and Bridge Information Systems.
He is the founder of TwT Learnings, provides financial market training.
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