are consolidating near $4,484, holding above the VC PMI daily mean at $4,398, which confirms a short-term bullish price structure despite recent volatility. The market has successfully rejected lower levels near $4,310 (Buy 1) and $4,218 (Buy 2), signaling that accumulation has taken place and that the probability favors a reversion back toward higher resistance levels.
From a VC PMI perspective, a sustained close above the mean activates upside targets at $4,490 (Sell 1 Daily) and $4,578 (Sell 2 Daily). A breakout above these levels would confirm momentum expansion into the weekly structure, targeting $4,701 (Weekly Mean) and potentially extending toward $4,923 (Sell 1 Weekly). The alignment between daily and weekly means suggests increasing bullish pressure, especially if price holds above $4,398.
Time Cycle Analysis indicates that the market is approaching a critical inflection window between March 25–27, where a directional move is expected. This follows the recent cycle low established earlier in the week, suggesting the potential for a continuation phase into the end of the month. Secondary cycle resistance clusters appear around March 29–31, aligning with potential acceleration into higher VC PMI targets.
Using the Square of 9, the geometric expansion from the recent low near $4,100 projects harmonic resistance levels at approximately $4,500, $4,575, and $4,700, which align closely with the VC PMI Sell 1 and Sell 2 levels. This confluence strengthens the probability of these targets being achieved if momentum continues to build.
Volume analysis shows stabilization after a liquidation phase, indicating that weak hands have likely exited the market. This supports the thesis that the current structure is transitioning from correction into a new impulsive phase.
Conclusion:
Holding above $4,398 keeps the bullish scenario intact, with upside targets at $4,490 → $4,578 → $4,701 into the end-of-month cycle window. A failure below the mean would shift momentum back toward $4,310–$4,218, but current structure favors higher prices.
Disclosure: I am not a broker, financial advisor, or trading advisor. I am an analyst providing a mathematical framework known as the Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI). This system identifies high-probability levels based on price, time, and volatility but does not guarantee results. It does not incorporate fundamental, geopolitical, or unforeseen events. All trading decisions, risk management, and executions are solely your responsibility. Always define your risk before entering any trade and use proper money management.
